Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a UD Ibiza win with a probability of 40.03%. A win for Eibar had a probability of 32.13% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a UD Ibiza win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Eibar win was 0-1 (10.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that UD Ibiza would win this match.
