SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 52.01%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 25.01% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.92%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 1-2 (6.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Napoli | Draw | AC Milan |
52.01% ( 0.05) | 22.98% ( -0.09) | 25.01% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 58.44% ( 0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.02% ( 0.42) | 41.98% ( -0.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.62% ( 0.42) | 64.38% ( -0.43) |
| Napoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.8% ( 0.17) | 16.2% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.31% ( 0.31) | 45.69% ( -0.31) |
| AC Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.73% ( 0.25) | 30.26% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.56% ( 0.3) | 66.44% ( -0.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Napoli | Draw | AC Milan |
| 2-1 @ 9.71% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.92% ( -0.12)2-0 @ 8.12% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 5.89% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 4.93% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.52% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 2.68% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 2.24% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.6% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 0.98% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.43% Total : 52.01% | 1-1 @ 10.66% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.8% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 4.9% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.98% | 1-2 @ 6.37% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.86% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 3.5% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.54% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.4% ( 0)Other @ 3.02% Total : 25.01% |
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