In Serie A, Napoli last drew 23 games ago - with 21 wins being piled up in the intervening period. Yet, the absence of their attacking focal point and the disruption of the international break may prove enough to help Milan escape with a point.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 64.5%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for AC Milan had a probability of 15.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.32%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.46%), while for an AC Milan win it was 0-1 (4.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
