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NL
Serie A | Gameweek 24
Feb 28, 2021 at 5pm UK
Stadio San Paolo
BL

Napoli
2 - 0
Benevento

Mertens (34'), Politano (66')
Koulibaly (58'), Di Lorenzo (61')
Koulibaly (81')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Barba (80'), Hetemaj (83')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 61.33%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Benevento had a probability of 17.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.8%) and 1-0 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%), while for a Benevento win it was 1-2 (4.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
NapoliDrawBenevento
61.33%20.72%17.94%
Both teams to score 55.58%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.2%40.8%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.81%63.18%
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.17%12.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.83%39.17%
Benevento Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.76%36.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.98%73.01%
Score Analysis
    Napoli 61.33%
    Benevento 17.94%
    Draw 20.72%
NapoliDrawBenevento
2-1 @ 9.95%
2-0 @ 9.8%
1-0 @ 9.54%
3-1 @ 6.81%
3-0 @ 6.71%
4-1 @ 3.5%
3-2 @ 3.46%
4-0 @ 3.45%
4-2 @ 1.78%
5-1 @ 1.44%
5-0 @ 1.42%
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 61.33%
1-1 @ 9.69%
2-2 @ 5.05%
0-0 @ 4.65%
3-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 20.72%
1-2 @ 4.92%
0-1 @ 4.72%
0-2 @ 2.4%
2-3 @ 1.71%
1-3 @ 1.66%
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 17.94%

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