Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 39.26%. A win for Benevento had a probability of 35.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest Benevento win was 1-0 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.