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Serie A | Gameweek 3
Sep 12, 2021 at 2pm UK
Stadio Sant'Elia
GL

Cagliari
2 - 3
Genoa

Pedro (16' pen.), Ceppitelli (56')
Ceppitelli (35'), Pedro (62')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Destro (59'), Fares (69', 78')
Biraschi (11'), Sabelli (15'), Kallon (58')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 48.6%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 27.17% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Genoa win was 0-1 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
CagliariDrawGenoa
48.6%24.23%27.17%
Both teams to score 56.26%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.2%45.8%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.88%68.11%
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.07%18.93%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.57%50.43%
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.39%30.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.16%66.84%
Score Analysis
    Cagliari 48.6%
    Genoa 27.17%
    Draw 24.23%
CagliariDrawGenoa
1-0 @ 9.64%
2-1 @ 9.5%
2-0 @ 8.03%
3-1 @ 5.27%
3-0 @ 4.45%
3-2 @ 3.12%
4-1 @ 2.19%
4-0 @ 1.85%
4-2 @ 1.3%
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 48.6%
1-1 @ 11.41%
0-0 @ 5.79%
2-2 @ 5.63%
3-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.23%
0-1 @ 6.86%
1-2 @ 6.76%
0-2 @ 4.06%
1-3 @ 2.67%
2-3 @ 2.22%
0-3 @ 1.6%
Other @ 3%
Total : 27.17%

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