Though both sides are effectively safe, they will each want to wrap up their season in style, but Empoli's inability to turn one point into three has left them increasingly desperate for any kind of victory. It may not finally arrive on Saturday, though, as Spezia can take advantage of their troubles at the back - now exacerbated by injury and suspension - to secure a score draw at the Castellani. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 52.39%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 25.23% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.09%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Spezia win was 1-2 (6.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Empoli	Draw	Spezia
52.39%	22.38%	25.23%

Both teams to score 60.82%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.06%

38.94%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.74%

61.26%

Empoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.02%

14.98%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.58%

43.42%

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.54%

28.46%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.78%

64.22%

Score Analysis

Empoli 52.39%

Spezia 25.23%

Draw 22.37%

Empoli	Draw	Spezia
2-1 @ 9.66% 1-0 @ 8.09% 2-0 @ 7.68% 3-1 @ 6.11% 3-0 @ 4.86% 3-2 @ 3.84% 4-1 @ 2.9% 4-0 @ 2.31% 4-2 @ 1.82% 5-1 @ 1.1% Other @ 4.02% Total : 52.39%	1-1 @ 10.17% 2-2 @ 6.07% 0-0 @ 4.26% 3-3 @ 1.61% Other @ 0.27% Total : 22.37%	1-2 @ 6.39% 0-1 @ 5.36% 0-2 @ 3.37% 1-3 @ 2.68% 2-3 @ 2.54% 0-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 3.48% Total : 25.23%