Both sides have found the net in every one of their last 13 Serie A meetings since 2015, in a fixture which averages 3.6 goals per game. Neither has been prolific this term, but with Fiorentina finally finding their shooting boots, the visitors can head back to Tuscany with three points in their pocket.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 56.68%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 19.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.98%) and 1-2 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.36%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 1-0 (6.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.
-0.18) 
0.09) 
