SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 56.68%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 19.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.98%) and 1-2 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.36%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 1-0 (6.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sampdoria | Draw | Fiorentina |
19.3% ( -0.18) | 24.02% ( 0.09) | 56.68% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 47.58% ( -0.55) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.32% ( -0.57) | 52.68% ( 0.57) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.68% ( -0.49) | 74.32% ( 0.49) |
| Sampdoria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.32% ( -0.54) | 41.67% ( 0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 21.85% ( -0.47) | 78.15% ( 0.47) |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.57% ( -0.18) | 18.43% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.41% ( -0.3) | 49.59% ( 0.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sampdoria | Draw | Fiorentina |
| 1-0 @ 6.72% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 4.98% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 2.94% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 1.45% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.99% Total : 19.3% | 1-1 @ 11.36% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.68% ( 0.17)2-2 @ 4.21% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.76% Total : 24.01% | 0-1 @ 12.98% ( 0.21) 0-2 @ 10.98% ( 0.12)1-2 @ 9.61% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 6.19% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 5.42% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 2.62% 2-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 2.29% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.19% Total : 56.67% |
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