Both of these sides will have earmarked this match as the chance to put three points on the board, and we are expecting it to be a close match on Wednesday. Sampdoria are very difficult to back at the moment, though, so we are predicting a narrow success for Sassuolo.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 45.99%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 28.89% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 0-1 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
-1.16) 
0.19) 
