As evidenced by their shootout success in Florence, Empoli have travelled quite well this season, losing only twice in the league so far. With some in-form forwards at their disposal, the visitors can deepen Verona's woes by winning at the Bentegodi. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 44.2%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 30.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest Empoli win was 0-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Empoli would win this match.

Result
Hellas Verona	Draw	Empoli
44.2% ( 1.41)	25.7% ( -0.01)	30.1% ( -1.4)

Both teams to score 53.43% (

-0.65)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.59% (

-0.54)

50.41% (

0.54)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.66% (

-0.48)

72.34% (

0.48)

Hellas Verona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.26% (

0.44)

22.73% (

-0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.59% (

0.64)

56.41% (

-0.65)

Empoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.16% (

-1.24)

30.84% (

1.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.88% (

-1.49)

67.12% (

1.49)

Score Analysis

Hellas Verona 44.19%

Empoli 30.1%

Draw 25.69%

Hellas Verona	Draw	Empoli
1-0 @ 10.38% ( 0.36) 2-1 @ 9.05% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 7.69% ( 0.36) 3-1 @ 4.47% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 3.8% ( 0.22) 3-2 @ 2.63% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.66% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 1.41% ( 0.1) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.14% Total : 44.19%	1-1 @ 12.21% 0-0 @ 7.01% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 5.32% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.69%	0-1 @ 8.25% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 7.19% ( -0.25) 0-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.23) 1-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.2) 2-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.16) Other @ 3.01% Total : 30.1%