Under Palladino, it is clear that Monza are credible contenders to stay up at the end of their debut Serie A season, but beating in-form Inter will prove a bridge too far. The visitors' defeat of Napoli has only boosted confidence in the camp, and they can breach even a much-improved Biancorossi defence more than once.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 49.66%. A win for Monza had a probability of 26.49% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.42%) and 0-2 (8.07%). The likeliest Monza win was 2-1 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
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