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Serie A | Gameweek 13
Nov 6, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Allianz Stadium
IL

Juventus
2 - 0
Inter Milan

Rabiot (52'), Fagioli (84')
Danilo (77'), Szczesny (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Calhanoglu (56'), Skriniar (68')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Juventus 1-2 PSG
Wednesday, November 2 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Bayern 2-0 Inter Milan
Tuesday, November 1 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Juventus 1-0 Inter Milan

Both sides have finally produced some consistent results in Serie A, but find themselves off the pace at the summit of the standings. Juve are accustomed to snatching the odd goal and grinding out ugly wins, and they can pull that trick off again versus Inter, with several players returning to the squad just in time for the Derby d'Italia. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 40.68%. A win for Juventus had a probability of 36.19% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.44%) and 0-2 (5.43%). The likeliest Juventus win was 2-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.

Result
JuventusDrawInter Milan
36.19% (-0.236 -0.24) 23.13% (0.137 0.14) 40.68% (0.099999999999994 0.1)
Both teams to score 64.67% (-0.575 -0.58)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.34% (-0.735 -0.73)36.66% (0.737 0.74)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.18% (-0.805 -0.81)58.82% (0.808 0.81)
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.39% (-0.44499999999999 -0.44)20.61% (0.447 0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.84% (-0.709 -0.71)53.16% (0.711 0.71)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.46% (-0.265 -0.27)18.54% (0.267 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.22% (-0.45 -0.45)49.78% (0.452 0.45)
Score Analysis
    Juventus 36.19%
    Inter Milan 40.68%
    Draw 23.13%
JuventusDrawInter Milan
2-1 @ 8.03% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-0 @ 6.04% (0.135 0.14)
2-0 @ 4.77% (0.042 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.23% (-0.057 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.56% (-0.079 -0.08)
3-0 @ 2.51% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.67% (-0.046 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.41% (-0.051 -0.05)
4-0 @ 0.99% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 36.19%
1-1 @ 10.17% (0.15 0.15)
2-2 @ 6.77% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
0-0 @ 3.82% (0.136 0.14)
3-3 @ 2% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 23.13%
1-2 @ 8.57% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
0-1 @ 6.44% (0.177 0.18)
0-2 @ 5.43% (0.104 0.1)
1-3 @ 4.81% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.8% (-0.064 -0.06)
0-3 @ 3.05% (0.033 0.03)
1-4 @ 2.03% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.6% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.28% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 40.68%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Juventus 1-2 PSG
Wednesday, November 2 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Lecce 0-1 Juventus
Saturday, October 29 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Benfica 4-3 Juventus
Tuesday, October 25 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Juventus 4-0 Empoli
Friday, October 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Torino 0-1 Juventus
Saturday, October 15 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Maccabi Haifa 2-0 Juventus
Tuesday, October 11 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Bayern 2-0 Inter Milan
Tuesday, November 1 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Inter Milan 3-0 Sampdoria
Saturday, October 29 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 4-0 Plzen
Wednesday, October 26 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Fiorentina 3-4 Inter Milan
Saturday, October 22 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 2-0 Salernitana
Sunday, October 16 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Barcelona 3-3 Inter Milan
Wednesday, October 12 at 8pm in Champions League


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