SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 40.28%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 33.98% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 0-1 (8.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Juventus | Draw | AC Milan |
40.28% ( 0.35) | 25.74% ( 0.09) | 33.98% ( -0.43) |
| Both teams to score 54.77% ( -0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.66% ( -0.44) | 49.34% ( 0.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.62% ( -0.4) | 71.39% ( 0.41) |
| Juventus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.8% ( -0.02) | 24.2% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.47% ( -0.02) | 58.53% ( 0.03) |
| AC Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.25% ( -0.48) | 27.75% ( 0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.68% ( -0.62) | 63.32% ( 0.62) |
| Score Analysis |
| Juventus | Draw | AC Milan |
| 1-0 @ 9.53% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 8.67% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 6.76% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 4.1% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.2% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.63% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.45% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.13% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.89% Total : 40.28% | 1-1 @ 12.21% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.71% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 5.56% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.74% | 0-1 @ 8.61% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.83% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 3.35% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.87% Total : 33.98% |
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