SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 58.17%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Monza had a probability of 19.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.89%) and 2-0 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.28%), while for a Monza win it was 1-2 (5.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lazio | Draw | Monza |
58.17% ( -0.02) | 21.88% ( 0.03) | 19.95% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 55.29% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.07% ( -0.14) | 42.93% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.67% ( -0.13) | 65.33% ( 0.13) |
| Lazio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.52% ( -0.06) | 14.47% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.55% ( -0.1) | 42.45% ( 0.1) |
| Monza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.65% ( -0.08) | 35.35% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.89% ( -0.09) | 72.1% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lazio | Draw | Monza |
| 2-1 @ 9.94% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.89% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 9.56% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 6.4% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 6.16% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.33% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.09% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.98% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.2% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.15% ( -0)Other @ 2.88% Total : 58.17% | 1-1 @ 10.28% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.12% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 21.88% | 1-2 @ 5.35% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.32% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 2.77% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.85% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 1.91% Total : 19.95% |
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