Although Lazio have the historical advantage in this fixture, the capital club's downturn in results at the Olimpico and Parma's defensive improvement under Chivu suggest that the Emilians will avoid a ninth consecutive loss in Rome.
The Aquilotti have drawn four consecutive home games, with the last three ending 1-1, and the visitors will back themselves to limit Baroni's men in another score draw.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 67.02%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Parma had a probability of 13.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.8%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.37%), while for a Parma win it was 0-1 (4.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
0.07) 
-0.02) 
