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Serie A | Gameweek 25
Mar 4, 2023 at 2pm UK
U-Power Stadium
EL

Monza
2 - 1
Empoli

Ciurria (19'), Izzo (67')
Birindelli (45+2'), Pessina (49')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Satriano (51')
Parisi (34'), Akpa-Akpro (45+1'), Marin (53')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Salernitana 3-0 Monza
Sunday, February 26 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Empoli 0-2 Napoli
Saturday, February 25 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Monza 2-1 Empoli

With a squad featuring more routes to goal than their visitors, Monza can recover quickly from their slip-up in Salerno and score twice to pull further clear of Empoli in the standings. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 61.17%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 17.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.86%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.27%), while for a Empoli win it was 0-1 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
MonzaDrawEmpoli
61.17% (0.252 0.25) 21.62% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09) 17.21% (-0.165 -0.16)
Both teams to score 51.1% (-0.062000000000005 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.98% (0.091000000000001 0.09)46.02% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.67% (0.087 0.09)68.33% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Monza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.45% (0.11099999999999 0.11)14.55% (-0.108 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.41% (0.211 0.21)42.6% (-0.208 -0.21)
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.8% (-0.147 -0.15)40.2% (0.15000000000001 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.16% (-0.132 -0.13)76.84% (0.13500000000001 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Monza 61.16%
    Empoli 17.21%
    Draw 21.62%
MonzaDrawEmpoli
1-0 @ 11.27%
2-0 @ 10.86% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.9%
3-0 @ 6.98% (0.055 0.05)
3-1 @ 6.36% (0.024 0.02)
4-0 @ 3.37% (0.039 0.04)
4-1 @ 3.07% (0.023 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.9% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.4% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.3% (0.02 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.18% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 61.16%
1-1 @ 10.27% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.85% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.51% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 21.62%
0-1 @ 5.33% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-2 @ 4.68% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-2 @ 2.43% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.42% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.37% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 17.21%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Salernitana 3-0 Monza
Sunday, February 26 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Monza 0-1 AC Milan
Saturday, February 18 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Bologna 0-1 Monza
Sunday, February 12 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Monza 2-2 Sampdoria
Monday, February 6 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Juventus 0-2 Monza
Sunday, January 29 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Monza 1-1 Sassuolo
Sunday, January 22 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Empoli 0-2 Napoli
Saturday, February 25 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 1-1 Empoli
Sunday, February 19 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Empoli 2-2 Spezia
Saturday, February 11 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Roma 2-0 Empoli
Saturday, February 4 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Empoli 2-2 Torino
Saturday, January 28 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 0-1 Empoli
Monday, January 23 at 7.45pm in Serie A


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