Cagliari's wait for a win will go on, as even a Roma side that struggles to produce results on the road should have too much firepower for the Isolani to contain. Further relieving the pressure on Jose Mourinho, the visitors may be injury-hit but are rich in attacking talent and can rack up three straight victories in all competitions.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 42.96%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 29.09% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (8.34%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 1-0 (10.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
0.83) 
-0.05) 
