Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 42.07%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 31.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-1 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Roma in this match.

Result
Roma	Draw	Bayer Leverkusen
42.07% ( -0)	26.79% ( 0)	31.15% ( 0)

Both teams to score 50.53%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.62%

54.39%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.24%

75.76%

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.46% (

-0)

25.54% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.6% (

-0)

60.41% (

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.86% (

32.14% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.38% (

68.62% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Roma 42.06%

Bayer Leverkusen 31.15%

Draw 26.78%

Roma	Draw	Bayer Leverkusen
1-0 @ 11.2% 2-1 @ 8.68% 2-0 @ 7.65% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.95% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.48% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.24% 4-1 @ 1.35% 4-0 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.34% Total : 42.06%	1-1 @ 12.71% 0-0 @ 8.21% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.93% Other @ 0.94% Total : 26.78%	0-1 @ 9.32% 1-2 @ 7.22% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.29% 1-3 @ 2.73% 0-3 @ 2% 2-3 @ 1.86% ( 0) Other @ 2.73% Total : 31.15%