SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 55.32%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 22.63% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.75%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Lazio win was 1-2 (5.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Napoli | Draw | Lazio |
55.32% ( 0.55) | 22.05% ( -0.18) | 22.63% ( -0.37) |
| Both teams to score 58.78% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.78% ( 0.4) | 40.21% ( -0.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.41% ( 0.41) | 62.58% ( -0.41) |
| Napoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.53% ( 0.31) | 14.47% ( -0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.56% ( 0.6) | 42.43% ( -0.61) |
| Lazio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.72% ( -0.1) | 31.28% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.37% ( -0.12) | 67.63% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Napoli | Draw | Lazio |
| 2-1 @ 9.83% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.75% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 8.46% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 6.33% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 5.45% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 3.68% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 3.06% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 2.63% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 1.78% ( 0.04)5-1 @ 1.18% ( 0.04)5-0 @ 1.02% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.15% Total : 55.32% | 1-1 @ 10.16% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 5.71% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.53% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.04% | 1-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 5.26% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 3.06% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.72% Total : 22.63% |
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