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Serie A | Gameweek 4
Sep 16, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris
NL

Genoa
2 - 2
Napoli

Bani (40'), Retegui (56')
De Winter (32'), Retegui (33'), Badelj (75')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Raspadori (76'), Politano (84')
Elmas (1'), Cajuste (78')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Torino 1-0 Genoa
Sunday, September 3 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Napoli 1-2 Lazio
Saturday, September 2 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Genoa 1-3 Napoli

Osimhen could be back among the goals for a Napoli side keen to get back to winning ways after losing to Lazio before the hiatus, leaving Genoa to wait for their first home win since returning to the league. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 55.14%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 20.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.2%) and 1-2 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.38%), while for a Genoa win it was 1-0 (6.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
GenoaDrawNapoli
20.93% (0.016999999999999 0.02) 23.93% (0.0020000000000024 0) 55.14% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Both teams to score 50.25% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.61% (0.013999999999996 0.01)50.39% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.68% (0.012999999999998 0.01)72.32% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.4% (0.025000000000006 0.03)38.6% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.65% (0.021999999999998 0.02)75.35% (-0.018999999999991 -0.02)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.85% (0.00099999999999056 0)18.15% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.88%49.12% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Genoa 20.93%
    Napoli 55.13%
    Draw 23.93%
GenoaDrawNapoli
1-0 @ 6.67% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-1 @ 5.42% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-0 @ 3.17% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-1 @ 1.72% (0.002 0)
3-2 @ 1.47% (0.002 0)
3-0 @ 1.01% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 20.93%
1-1 @ 11.38% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.01% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-2 @ 4.62% (0.0020000000000007 0)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 23.93%
0-1 @ 11.95% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 10.2%
1-2 @ 9.71%
0-3 @ 5.8% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 5.53% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 2.63% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 2.48% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-4 @ 2.36%
2-4 @ 1.12% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 55.13%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Torino 1-0 Genoa
Sunday, September 3 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lazio 0-1 Genoa
Sunday, August 27 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Genoa 1-4 Fiorentina
Saturday, August 19 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Genoa 4-3 Modena
Friday, August 11 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Genoa 4-3 Bari
Friday, May 19 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Last Game: Frosinone 3-2 Genoa
Saturday, May 13 at 3.15pm in Serie B
Last Game: Napoli 1-2 Lazio
Saturday, September 2 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Napoli 2-0 Sassuolo
Sunday, August 27 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Frosinone 1-3 Napoli
Saturday, August 19 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Napoli 2-0 Sampdoria
Sunday, June 4 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Bologna 2-2 Napoli
Sunday, May 28 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Napoli 3-1 Inter Milan
Sunday, May 21 at 5pm in Serie A


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