SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benevento win with a probability of 48.75%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Cittadella had a probability of 24.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benevento win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.71%) and 2-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.56%), while for a Cittadella win it was 0-1 (8.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Benevento in this match.
| Result | ||
| Benevento | Draw | Cittadella |
48.75% ( 0.02) | 26.89% ( -0.06) | 24.36% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 45.82% ( 0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.74% ( 0.23) | 58.26% ( -0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.11% ( 0.18) | 78.89% ( -0.18) |
| Benevento Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.01% ( 0.11) | 23.99% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.76% ( 0.16) | 58.24% ( -0.16) |
| Cittadella Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.29% ( 0.16) | 39.71% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 23.61% ( 0.15) | 76.39% ( -0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Benevento | Draw | Cittadella |
| 1-0 @ 13.6% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 9.71% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 8.97% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.62% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.27% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.97% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.65% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.52% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.46% Total : 48.75% | 1-1 @ 12.56% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.53% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 4.14% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.66% Total : 26.89% | 0-1 @ 8.8% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 5.8% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.06% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.39% Total : 24.36% |
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