Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benevento win with a probability of 48.75%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Cittadella had a probability of 24.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benevento win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.71%) and 2-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.56%), while for a Cittadella win it was 0-1 (8.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Benevento in this match.

Result
Benevento	Draw	Cittadella
48.75% ( 0.02)	26.89% ( -0.06)	24.36% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 45.82% (

0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.74% (

0.23)

58.26% (

-0.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.11% (

0.18)

78.89% (

-0.18)

Benevento Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.01% (

0.11)

23.99% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.76% (

0.16)

58.24% (

-0.16)

Cittadella Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.29% (

0.16)

39.71% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.61% (

0.15)

76.39% (

-0.15)

Score Analysis

Benevento 48.75%

Cittadella 24.36%

Draw 26.89%

Benevento	Draw	Cittadella
1-0 @ 13.6% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 9.71% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.97% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.62% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.27% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.97% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.65% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.52% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.46% Total : 48.75%	1-1 @ 12.56% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.53% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 4.14% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.66% Total : 26.89%	0-1 @ 8.8% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 5.8% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.06% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.39% Total : 24.36%