Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Perugia win with a probability of 43.46%. A draw had a probability of 29.3% and a win for Cittadella had a probability of 27.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Perugia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.92%) and 2-1 (8.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.18%), while for a Cittadella win it was 0-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
Perugia	Draw	Cittadella
43.46% ( 1.15)	29.28% ( 0.24)	27.25% ( -1.39)

Both teams to score 41.82% (

-1.33)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.56% (

-1.29)

64.44% (

1.29)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.5% (

-0.92)

83.5% (

0.92)

Perugia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.44% (

29.55% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.42% (

65.58% (

-0)

Cittadella Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.36% (

-1.89)

40.64% (

1.89)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.76% (

-1.75)

77.23% (

1.75)

Score Analysis

Perugia 43.46%

Cittadella 27.25%

Draw 29.28%

Perugia	Draw	Cittadella
1-0 @ 14.64% ( 0.69) 2-0 @ 8.92% ( 0.42) 2-1 @ 8.04% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.63% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 3.27% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 1.4% Total : 43.46%	1-1 @ 13.18% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 12.01% ( 0.56) 2-2 @ 3.62% ( -0.21) Other @ 0.47% Total : 29.28%	0-1 @ 10.81% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 5.94% ( -0.34) 0-2 @ 4.87% ( -0.28) 1-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.2) 0-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.17) 2-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.12) Other @ 1.31% Total : 27.25%