Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benevento win with a probability of 49.12%. A win for Pordenone Calcio had a probability of 25.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benevento win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.44%) and 0-2 (8.78%). The likeliest Pordenone Calcio win was 1-0 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benevento would win this match.
