Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benevento win with a probability of 72.16%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Vicenza had a probability of 10.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benevento win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.81%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.96%), while for a Vicenza win it was 0-1 (3.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benevento would win this match.
