Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cittadella win with a probability of 43.65%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 28.44% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cittadella win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.53%) and 2-1 (8.5%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 0-1 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.
0.14) 
-0.17) 
