SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cittadella win with a probability of 43.65%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 28.44% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cittadella win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.53%) and 2-1 (8.5%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 0-1 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cittadella | Draw | Cagliari |
43.65% ( 0.14) | 27.91% ( 0.03) | 28.44% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 46.01% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.48% ( -0.16) | 59.52% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.13% ( -0.13) | 79.87% ( 0.13) |
| Cittadella Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.92% ( -0) | 27.08% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.54% | 62.45% |
| Cagliari Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.09% ( -0.23) | 36.91% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.31% ( -0.22) | 73.69% ( 0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cittadella | Draw | Cagliari |
| 1-0 @ 13.05% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 8.53% ( 0.05)2-1 @ 8.5% 3-0 @ 3.71% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.7% 3-2 @ 1.85% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.21% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.21% Other @ 1.89% Total : 43.65% | 1-1 @ 13.01% 0-0 @ 9.99% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 4.24% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.67% Total : 27.91% | 0-1 @ 9.96% 1-2 @ 6.49% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 4.97% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.81% Total : 28.44% |
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