SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cittadella win with a probability of 53.02%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Perugia had a probability of 21.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cittadella win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.63%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.03%), while for a Perugia win it was 0-1 (7.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cittadella | Draw | Perugia |
53.02% ( 0.67) | 25.69% ( -0.26) | 21.29% ( -0.41) |
| Both teams to score 45.72% ( 0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.36% ( 0.53) | 56.64% ( -0.53) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.39% ( 0.42) | 77.61% ( -0.42) |
| Cittadella Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.58% ( 0.5) | 21.42% ( -0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.57% ( 0.77) | 54.43% ( -0.77) |
| Perugia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.19% ( -0.12) | 41.81% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 21.73% ( -0.11) | 78.27% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cittadella | Draw | Perugia |
| 1-0 @ 13.8% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 10.63% ( 0.11)2-1 @ 9.27% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 5.46% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 4.76% ( 0.1)4-0 @ 2.1% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 2.08% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.83% ( 0.07)Other @ 3.08% Total : 53.02% | 1-1 @ 12.03% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 8.96% ( -0.18)2-2 @ 4.04% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.66% Total : 25.69% | 0-1 @ 7.81% ( -0.19) 1-2 @ 5.25% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 3.41% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.18% 0-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.14% Total : 21.29% |
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