Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cittadella win with a probability of 53.02%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Perugia had a probability of 21.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cittadella win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.63%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.03%), while for a Perugia win it was 0-1 (7.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.

Result
Cittadella	Draw	Perugia
53.02% ( 0.67)	25.69% ( -0.26)	21.29% ( -0.41)

Both teams to score 45.72% (

0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.36% (

0.53)

56.64% (

-0.53)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.39% (

0.42)

77.61% (

-0.42)

Cittadella Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.58% (

0.5)

21.42% (

-0.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.57% (

0.77)

54.43% (

-0.77)

Perugia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.19% (

-0.12)

41.81% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.73% (

-0.11)

78.27% (

0.11)

Score Analysis

Cittadella 53.02%

Perugia 21.29%

Draw 25.69%

Cittadella	Draw	Perugia
1-0 @ 13.8% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 10.63% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 9.27% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 5.46% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 4.76% ( 0.1) 4-0 @ 2.1% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.08% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.83% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.08% Total : 53.02%	1-1 @ 12.03% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 8.96% ( -0.18) 2-2 @ 4.04% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.66% Total : 25.69%	0-1 @ 7.81% ( -0.19) 1-2 @ 5.25% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 3.41% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.18% 0-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.14% Total : 21.29%