Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bari win with a probability of 43.71%. A win for Benevento had a probability of 28.8% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bari win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest Benevento win was 0-1 (9.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bari would win this match.
0.02) 
-0.08) 
