Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 57.46%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Perugia had a probability of 18.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.95%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.18%), while for a Perugia win it was 0-1 (6.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Parma would win this match.

Result
Parma	Draw	Perugia
57.46% ( -0.04)	23.56% ( -0.05)	18.98% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 48.37% (

0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.65% (

0.3)

51.35% (

-0.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.83% (

0.26)

73.17% (

-0.26)

Parma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.35% (

0.09)

17.65% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.74% (

0.16)

48.25% (

-0.17)

Perugia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.73% (

0.27)

41.27% (

-0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.21% (

0.24)

77.79% (

-0.24)

Score Analysis

Parma 57.45%

Perugia 18.98%

Draw 23.56%

Parma	Draw	Perugia
1-0 @ 12.63% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 10.95% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.7% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 6.34% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.61% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.75% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.48% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.43% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.08% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 2.55% Total : 57.45%	1-1 @ 11.18% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.28% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 4.29% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.81% Total : 23.56%	0-1 @ 6.45% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 4.95% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 2.85% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.01% Total : 18.98%