Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pisa win with a probability of 42.47%. A win for Cittadella had a probability of 30.11% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pisa win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Cittadella win was 0-1 (9.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Pisa in this match.
