SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Luzern | 4 | -2 | 5 |
| 8 | Basel | 4 | -2 | 3 |
| 9 | FC Winterthur | 5 | -6 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 50.65%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for CSKA Sofia had a probability of 23.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.3%), while for a CSKA Sofia win it was 0-1 (8.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Basel in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Basel.
| Result | ||
| Basel | Draw | CSKA Sofia |
50.65% ( -0.13) | 26.22% ( 0.04) | 23.13% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 46.42% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.15% ( -0.1) | 56.85% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.22% ( -0.08) | 77.78% ( 0.08) |
| Basel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.47% ( -0.09) | 22.53% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.89% ( -0.14) | 56.1% ( 0.15) |
| CSKA Sofia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.91% ( 0.02) | 40.08% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.27% ( 0.02) | 76.73% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Basel | Draw | CSKA Sofia |
| 1-0 @ 13.45% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.03% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.17% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.98% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.56% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.08% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.86% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.7% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.82% Total : 50.64% | 1-1 @ 12.3% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.03% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.19% ( -0)Other @ 0.69% Total : 26.21% | 0-1 @ 8.26% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 5.62% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.77% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.71% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.28% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.34% Total : 23.13% |
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