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Conference League | Playoffs | 1st Leg
Aug 18, 2022 at 6pm UK
Stadion Vasil Levski
B
Basel

CSKA Sofia
1 - 0
Basel

Lopez (70' og.)
Turitsov (73'), Vion (82')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Adams (23'), Amdouni (30'), Diouf (81'), Lopez (85')

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: St Patrick's 0-2 CSKA Sofia
Thursday, August 11 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Basel 0-2 Lugano
Sunday, August 14 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League

We said: CSKA Sofia 1-2 Basel

The Bulgarian outfit will be keen to make the most of home advantage, while Basel face a tough trip, but we still see the visitors having too much for their opponents and bringing a lead back for the second leg. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 37.77%. A win for CSKA Sofia had a probability of 36.49% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (6.23%). The likeliest CSKA Sofia win was 1-0 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.

Result
CSKA SofiaDrawBasel
36.49% (0.091999999999999 0.09) 25.75% (0.050999999999998 0.05) 37.77% (-0.138 -0.14)
Both teams to score 55.11% (-0.168 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.94% (-0.219 -0.22)49.06% (0.222 0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.87% (-0.198 -0.2)71.13% (0.202 0.2)
CSKA Sofia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.88% (-0.048999999999992 -0.05)26.12% (0.050999999999998 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.81% (-0.065999999999995 -0.07)61.19% (0.07 0.07)
Basel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.59% (-0.17700000000001 -0.18)25.41% (0.18 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.78% (-0.245 -0.25)60.22% (0.248 0.25)
Score Analysis
    CSKA Sofia 36.49%
    Basel 37.77%
    Draw 25.74%
CSKA SofiaDrawBasel
1-0 @ 8.91% (0.067 0.07)
2-1 @ 8.19% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.98% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.67% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-0 @ 2.68% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.51% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.23% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 36.49%
1-1 @ 12.2% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.64% (0.06 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.61% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.15% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.74%
0-1 @ 9.09% (0.036 0.04)
1-2 @ 8.36% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.23% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.82% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.85% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.56% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.31% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-4 @ 0.98% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 37.77%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: St Patrick's 0-2 CSKA Sofia
Thursday, August 11 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: CSKA Sofia 0-1 St Patrick's
Thursday, August 4 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: CSKA Sofia 4-0 Makedonija
Thursday, July 28 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Makedonija 0-0 CSKA Sofia
Thursday, July 21 at 4.30pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: CSKA Sofia 2-3 Roma
Thursday, December 9 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Bodo/Glimt 2-0 CSKA Sofia
Thursday, November 25 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Basel 0-2 Lugano
Sunday, August 14 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: Basel 2-1 Brondby (3-1 pen.)
Thursday, August 11 at 6.15pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Basel 0-0 Young Boys
Sunday, August 7 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: Brondby 1-0 Basel
Thursday, August 4 at 7.30pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Crusaders 1-1 Basel
Thursday, July 28 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Basel 1-1 Servette
Sunday, July 24 at 1.15pm in Swiss Super League


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