SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Luzern | 4 | -2 | 5 |
| 8 | Basel | 4 | -2 | 3 |
| 9 | FC Winterthur | 5 | -6 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 37.77%. A win for CSKA Sofia had a probability of 36.49% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (6.23%). The likeliest CSKA Sofia win was 1-0 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| CSKA Sofia | Draw | Basel |
36.49% ( 0.09) | 25.75% ( 0.05) | 37.77% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 55.11% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.94% ( -0.22) | 49.06% ( 0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.87% ( -0.2) | 71.13% ( 0.2) |
| CSKA Sofia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.88% ( -0.05) | 26.12% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.81% ( -0.07) | 61.19% ( 0.07) |
| Basel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.59% ( -0.18) | 25.41% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.78% ( -0.25) | 60.22% ( 0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| CSKA Sofia | Draw | Basel |
| 1-0 @ 8.91% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 8.19% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.98% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 3.67% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.68% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.51% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.23% ( -0)Other @ 3.32% Total : 36.49% | 1-1 @ 12.2% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.64% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 5.61% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.74% | 0-1 @ 9.09% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 8.36% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 6.23% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.82% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.57% Total : 37.77% |
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