SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 47.38%. A win for Basel had a probability of 28.5% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.1%) and 0-2 (7.59%). The likeliest Basel win was 2-1 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%).
| Result | ||
| Basel | Draw | Fiorentina |
28.5% ( 0.85) | 24.12% ( -0.07) | 47.38% ( -0.78) |
| Both teams to score 57.66% ( 0.87) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.58% ( 0.86) | 44.42% ( -0.86) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.21% ( 0.83) | 66.79% ( -0.83) |
| Basel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.08% ( 1.06) | 28.92% ( -1.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.2% ( 1.29) | 64.8% ( -1.29) |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.12% ( 0.02) | 18.88% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.64% ( 0.04) | 50.36% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Basel | Draw | Fiorentina |
| 2-1 @ 7.01% ( 0.16) 1-0 @ 6.77% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 4.2% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 2.9% ( 0.15)3-2 @ 2.42% ( 0.12)3-0 @ 1.74% ( 0.09)Other @ 3.47% Total : 28.5% | 1-1 @ 11.29% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.84% ( 0.13)0-0 @ 5.46% ( -0.21)3-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.12% | 1-2 @ 9.41% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 9.1% ( -0.34)0-2 @ 7.59% ( -0.27)1-3 @ 5.23% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 4.22% ( -0.15)2-3 @ 3.25% ( 0.08)1-4 @ 2.18% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.76% ( -0.06)2-4 @ 1.35% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.3% Total : 47.38% |
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