Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 50.33%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 24.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.87%), while for a Nacional win it was 0-1 (7.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gil Vicente would win this match.

Result
Gil Vicente	Draw	Nacional
50.33% ( 0.19)	24.96% ( 0.02)	24.71% ( -0.21)

Both teams to score 51.66% (

-0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.21% (

-0.26)

50.79% (

0.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.32% (

-0.23)

72.68% (

0.23)

Gil Vicente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.81% (

-0.03)

20.19% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.51% (

-0.05)

52.49% (

0.05)

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.73% (

-0.32)

35.27% (

0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.97% (

-0.34)

72.03% (

0.34)

Score Analysis

Gil Vicente 50.33%

Nacional 24.71%

Draw 24.96%

Gil Vicente	Draw	Nacional
1-0 @ 11.39% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 9.5% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.12% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 5.07% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.86% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.64% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.03% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.95% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.73% Total : 50.33%	1-1 @ 11.87% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.12% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.95% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.1% Total : 24.96%	0-1 @ 7.42% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.19% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 3.87% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.02% Total : 24.71%