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Taca da Liga | Group Stage
Dec 13, 2022 at 8.45pm UK
Estádio José Alvalade
M

Sporting Lisbon
5 - 0
Maritimo

Paulinho (1', 15', 31'), Porro (73'), Silva (86' og.)
FT(HT: 3-0)

Liza (60'), Xadas (67'), Costa (70'), Winck (73'), Afonso (81')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rio Ave 0-2 Sporting Lisbon
Wednesday, December 7 at 8.30pm in Taca da Liga
Last Game: Farense 2-0 Maritimo
Wednesday, December 7 at 6.30pm in Taca da Liga

We said: Sporting Lisbon 3-0 Maritimo

While Maritimo will be looking to end their winless run, they take on a Sporting Lisbon side who are currently firing on all cylinders. Amorim's side have enjoyed a superb cup campaign so far and we are backing them to extend their dominance over the visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 69.35%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 12.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.77%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.72%), while for a Maritimo win it was 0-1 (3.94%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
Sporting LisbonDrawMaritimo
69.35% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02) 18.36% (0.0079999999999991 0.01) 12.28% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 49.42% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.19% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)41.8% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.79% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)64.21% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.07% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)10.93% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.87% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)35.13% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Maritimo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.48% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)44.51% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.46% (0.004999999999999 0)80.54% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Sporting Lisbon 69.36%
    Maritimo 12.28%
    Draw 18.36%
Sporting LisbonDrawMaritimo
2-0 @ 11.92%
1-0 @ 10.77% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.65% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 8.8% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
3-1 @ 7.12% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
4-0 @ 4.87% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
4-1 @ 3.94% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.88% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
5-0 @ 2.16% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 1.74% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.6%
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 69.36%
1-1 @ 8.72% (0.0040000000000013 0)
0-0 @ 4.87% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 3.91% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 18.36%
0-1 @ 3.94% (0.004 0)
1-2 @ 3.53% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 1.59% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.05% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 0.95% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.22%
Total : 12.28%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Rio Ave 0-2 Sporting Lisbon
Wednesday, December 7 at 8.30pm in Taca da Liga
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 6-0 Farense
Wednesday, November 30 at 8.45pm in Taca da Liga
Last Game: Famalicao 1-2 Sporting Lisbon
Sunday, November 13 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 3-0 Guimaraes
Saturday, November 5 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 1-2 Frankfurt
Tuesday, November 1 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Arouca 1-0 Sporting Lisbon
Saturday, October 29 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Farense 2-0 Maritimo
Wednesday, December 7 at 6.30pm in Taca da Liga
Last Game: Maritimo 0-1 Rio Ave
Thursday, December 1 at 5pm in Taca da Liga
Last Game: Guimaraes 1-0 Maritimo
Sunday, November 13 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Maritimo 0-0 Famalicao
Sunday, November 6 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Pacos de Ferreira 0-1 Maritimo
Friday, October 28 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Maritimo 1-1 Arouca
Sunday, October 23 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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