Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Oleksandriya win with a probability of 50.78%. A win for Mariupol had a probability of 24.91% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Oleksandriya win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.61%) and 0-2 (8.8%). The likeliest Mariupol win was 1-0 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%).