Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro win with a probability of 39.17%. A win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 34.62% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerro win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Montevideo Wanderers win was 1-0 (9.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Montevideo Wanderers | Draw | Cerro |
34.62% | 26.22% | 39.17% |
Both teams to score 53.32% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.74% | 51.26% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.91% | 73.09% |
Montevideo Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.72% | 28.28% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36% | 64% |
Cerro Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.35% | 25.66% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.44% | 60.56% |
Score Analysis |
Montevideo Wanderers | Draw | Cerro |
1-0 @ 9.16% 2-1 @ 7.87% 2-0 @ 5.79% 3-1 @ 3.31% 3-0 @ 2.44% 3-2 @ 2.25% 4-1 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.74% Total : 34.62% | 1-1 @ 12.46% 0-0 @ 7.26% 2-2 @ 5.36% 3-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.21% | 0-1 @ 9.87% 1-2 @ 8.48% 0-2 @ 6.71% 1-3 @ 3.85% 0-3 @ 3.05% 2-3 @ 2.43% 1-4 @ 1.31% 0-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.44% Total : 39.17% |
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