SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston River win with a probability of 41.8%. A win for Montevideo City Torque had a probability of 31.45% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boston River win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (7.56%). The likeliest Montevideo City Torque win was 1-0 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Montevideo City Torque | Draw | Boston River |
31.45% ( 0.19) | 26.75% ( 0.04) | 41.8% ( -0.23) |
| Both teams to score 50.76% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.86% ( -0.12) | 54.14% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.45% ( -0.1) | 75.56% ( 0.1) |
| Montevideo City Torque Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.2% ( 0.07) | 31.8% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.77% ( 0.08) | 68.23% ( -0.09) |
| Boston River Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.43% ( -0.17) | 25.57% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.56% ( -0.24) | 60.44% ( 0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Montevideo City Torque | Draw | Boston River |
| 1-0 @ 9.32% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 7.28% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 5.34% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 2.78% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.04% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.9% ( 0)Other @ 2.81% Total : 31.45% | 1-1 @ 12.7% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.13% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.75% | 0-1 @ 11.08% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.66% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 7.56% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 3.94% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 3.44% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.34% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.34% Total : 41.79% |
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