SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston River win with a probability of 45.56%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for La Luz had a probability of 27.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boston River win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.85%) and 1-2 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.8%), while for a La Luz win it was 1-0 (9.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| La Luz | Draw | Boston River |
27.16% ( -0.42) | 27.28% ( 0) | 45.56% ( 0.41) |
| Both teams to score 46.98% ( -0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.1% ( -0.22) | 57.9% ( 0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.39% ( -0.18) | 78.61% ( 0.17) |
| La Luz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.94% ( -0.46) | 37.06% ( 0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.15% ( -0.46) | 73.85% ( 0.46) |
| Boston River Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.63% ( 0.1) | 25.36% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.84% ( 0.14) | 60.16% ( -0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| La Luz | Draw | Boston River |
| 1-0 @ 9.33% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 6.35% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 4.63% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 2.1% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 1.53% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.77% Total : 27.16% | 1-1 @ 12.8% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.4% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 4.36% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.72% Total : 27.28% | 0-1 @ 12.89% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 8.85% ( 0.13)1-2 @ 8.78% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 4.05% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 4.02% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.39% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.38% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.22% Total : 45.55% |
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