SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston River win with a probability of 39.78%. A win for Cerro Largo had a probability of 32.31% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boston River win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.2%) and 0-2 (7.47%). The likeliest Cerro Largo win was 1-0 (10.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cerro Largo | Draw | Boston River |
32.31% ( -0.59) | 27.91% ( -0.16) | 39.78% ( 0.75) |
| Both teams to score 47.58% ( 0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.7% ( 0.46) | 58.3% ( -0.46) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.08% ( 0.36) | 78.93% ( -0.36) |
| Cerro Largo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.66% ( -0.17) | 33.34% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.03% ( -0.19) | 69.97% ( 0.19) |
| Boston River Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.38% ( 0.66) | 28.62% ( -0.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.57% ( 0.82) | 64.43% ( -0.81) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cerro Largo | Draw | Boston River |
| 1-0 @ 10.48% ( -0.23) 2-1 @ 7.2% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 5.76% ( -0.16)3-1 @ 2.64% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 2.11% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 1.65% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.48% Total : 32.31% | 1-1 @ 13.11% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 9.54% ( -0.17)2-2 @ 4.5% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.91% | 0-1 @ 11.93% 1-2 @ 8.2% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 7.47% ( 0.14)1-3 @ 3.42% ( 0.11)0-3 @ 3.11% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.05)0-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.05)Other @ 1.71% Total : 39.77% |
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