SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportivo Maldonado win with a probability of 36.91%. A win for La Luz had a probability of 34.49% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo Maldonado win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.7%) and 0-2 (6.95%). The likeliest La Luz win was 1-0 (11.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| La Luz | Draw | Deportivo Maldonado |
34.49% ( 0.46) | 28.6% ( -0.34) | 36.91% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 45.96% ( 1.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.52% ( 1.21) | 60.48% ( -1.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.4% ( 0.91) | 80.6% ( -0.9) |
| La Luz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.01% ( 0.94) | 32.98% ( -0.94) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.43% ( 1.03) | 69.57% ( -1.03) |
| Deportivo Maldonado Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.58% ( 0.55) | 31.42% ( -0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.21% ( 0.63) | 67.79% ( -0.63) |
| Score Analysis |
| La Luz | Draw | Deportivo Maldonado |
| 1-0 @ 11.49% ( -0.23) 2-1 @ 7.38% ( 0.15)2-0 @ 6.37% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 2.73% ( 0.13)3-0 @ 2.36% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 1.58% ( 0.1)Other @ 2.58% Total : 34.49% | 1-1 @ 13.3% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 10.36% ( -0.48)2-2 @ 4.27% ( 0.15)Other @ 0.66% Total : 28.6% | 0-1 @ 11.99% ( -0.37) 1-2 @ 7.7% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 6.95% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 2.97% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 2.68% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.96% Total : 36.9% |
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