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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 48.03%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Boston River had a probability of 25.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.19%) and 0-2 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.37%), while for a Boston River win it was 1-0 (8.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Boston River | Draw | Defensor Sporting |
25.86% ( 0.33) | 26.11% ( -0.03) | 48.03% ( -0.3) |
| Both teams to score 49.3% ( 0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.6% ( 0.33) | 54.4% ( -0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.22% ( 0.27) | 75.77% ( -0.27) |
| Boston River Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.75% ( 0.46) | 36.25% ( -0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.97% ( 0.47) | 73.03% ( -0.47) |
| Defensor Sporting Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.34% ( 0) | 22.66% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.69% ( 0) | 56.31% |
| Score Analysis |
| Boston River | Draw | Defensor Sporting |
| 1-0 @ 8.34% ( -0) 2-1 @ 6.28% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 4.23% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 2.12% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 1.58% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.88% Total : 25.86% | 1-1 @ 12.37% 0-0 @ 8.22% ( -0.1)2-2 @ 4.66% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.86% Total : 26.1% | 0-1 @ 12.19% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 9.19% ( -0)0-2 @ 9.05% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 4.55% 0-3 @ 4.48% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.69% 0-4 @ 1.66% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.92% Total : 48.03% |
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