Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenix win with a probability of 35.69%. A win for Cerro had a probability of 34.72% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenix win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.28%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest Cerro win was 0-1 (12.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Fenix | Draw | Cerro |
35.69% ( 0.26) | 29.59% ( -0.52) | 34.72% ( 0.27) |
Both teams to score 43.23% ( 1.39) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
36.2% ( 1.66) | 63.8% ( -1.65) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
16.96% ( 1.17) | 83.04% ( -1.16) |
Fenix Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.08% ( 1.06) | 33.92% ( -1.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.41% ( 1.13) | 70.59% ( -1.12) |
Cerro Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.42% ( 1.08) | 34.58% ( -1.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.7% ( 1.13) | 71.3% ( -1.12) |
Score Analysis |
Fenix | Draw | Cerro |
1-0 @ 12.68% ( -0.41) 2-1 @ 7.28% ( 0.18) 2-0 @ 6.86% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.62% ( 0.14) 3-0 @ 2.47% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 1.39% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.39% Total : 35.69% | 1-1 @ 13.46% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 11.72% ( -0.74) 2-2 @ 3.87% ( 0.21) Other @ 0.53% Total : 29.58% | 0-1 @ 12.45% ( -0.41) 1-2 @ 7.15% ( 0.18) 0-2 @ 6.61% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.14) 0-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.26% Total : 34.71% |
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