SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Largo win with a probability of 46.22%. A draw had a probability of 28.8% and a win for Cerro had a probability of 24.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Largo win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.67%) and 1-2 (8.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.95%), while for a Cerro win it was 1-0 (10.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cerro | Draw | Cerro Largo |
24.93% ( 0.08) | 28.85% ( 0.02) | 46.22% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 41.34% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.77% ( -0.01) | 64.22% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.65% ( -0.01) | 83.34% ( 0) |
| Cerro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.4% ( 0.07) | 42.59% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.05% ( 0.06) | 78.95% ( -0.06) |
| Cerro Largo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.02% ( -0.06) | 27.97% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.39% ( -0.07) | 63.61% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cerro | Draw | Cerro Largo |
| 1-0 @ 10.16% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 5.53% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 4.34% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 1.57% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.23% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1% ( 0)Other @ 1.09% Total : 24.92% | 1-1 @ 12.95% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 11.91% 2-2 @ 3.52% ( 0)Other @ 0.46% Total : 28.84% | 0-1 @ 15.17% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 9.67% ( -0.03)1-2 @ 8.25% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 4.11% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.5% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.5% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.12% ( -0)Other @ 1.59% Total : 46.21% |
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