SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportivo Maldonado win with a probability of 37.16%. A win for Cerro Largo had a probability of 31.56% and a draw had a probability of 31.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo Maldonado win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.52%) and 2-1 (6.93%). The likeliest Cerro Largo win was 0-1 (13.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 14.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Deportivo Maldonado | Draw | Cerro Largo |
37.16% ( 0.03) | 31.28% | 31.56% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 38.66% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 30.95% ( -0.01) | 69.05% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 13.38% ( -0) | 86.62% |
| Deportivo Maldonado Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.21% ( 0.02) | 35.79% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.43% ( 0.02) | 72.56% ( -0.02) |
| Cerro Largo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.21% ( -0.03) | 39.79% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.54% ( -0.03) | 76.46% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Deportivo Maldonado | Draw | Cerro Largo |
| 1-0 @ 14.63% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.52% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 6.93% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.58% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.37% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.04% Total : 37.16% | 0-0 @ 14.24% ( 0.01) 1-1 @ 13.48% 2-2 @ 3.19% ( -0)Other @ 0.36% Total : 31.27% | 0-1 @ 13.12% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.21% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.05% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.91% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 0.98% ( -0)Other @ 1.43% Total : 31.55% |
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