SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 50.83%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Cerro Largo had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.95%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.23%), while for a Cerro Largo win it was 0-1 (8.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Liverpool | Draw | Cerro Largo |
50.83% ( 0.01) | 25.96% ( -0.01) | 23.2% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 47.18% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.11% ( 0.02) | 55.89% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23% ( 0.01) | 77% ( -0.02) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.95% ( 0.01) | 22.04% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.62% ( 0.02) | 55.38% ( -0.02) |
| Cerro Largo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.52% ( 0.01) | 39.47% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.83% ( 0.01) | 76.16% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Liverpool | Draw | Cerro Largo |
| 1-0 @ 13.15% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.95% ( -0)2-1 @ 9.25% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.02% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.66% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.17% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.9% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.76% ( 0)Other @ 2.98% Total : 50.83% | 1-1 @ 12.23% 0-0 @ 8.7% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.3% ( 0)Other @ 0.73% Total : 25.96% | 0-1 @ 8.09% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.68% 0-2 @ 3.76% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.76% 2-3 @ 1.33% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 1.41% Total : 23.2% |
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