Progreso
0 - 1
Nacional

Viega (28'), Sosa (57')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Bergessio (44')
Bergessio (88')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Progreso and Nacional.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 45.49%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Progreso had a probability of 26.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.17%) and 1-2 (8.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.95%), while for a Progreso win it was 1-0 (9.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Nacional in this match.

Result
Progreso	Draw	Nacional
26.39%	28.11%	45.49%

Both teams to score 44.22%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.85%

61.14%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.9%

81.1%

Progreso Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.48%

39.51%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.79%

76.2%

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.11%

26.88%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.8%

62.2%

Score Analysis

Progreso 26.39%

Nacional 45.49%

Draw 28.1%

Progreso	Draw	Nacional
1-0 @ 9.86% 2-1 @ 6.02% 2-0 @ 4.58% 3-1 @ 1.86% 3-0 @ 1.42% 3-2 @ 1.22% Other @ 1.43% Total : 26.39%	1-1 @ 12.95% 0-0 @ 10.62% 2-2 @ 3.95% Other @ 0.58% Total : 28.1%	0-1 @ 13.95% 0-2 @ 9.17% 1-2 @ 8.51% 0-3 @ 4.01% 1-3 @ 3.73% 2-3 @ 1.73% 0-4 @ 1.32% 1-4 @ 1.22% Other @ 1.85% Total : 45.49%