SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plaza Colonia win with a probability of 44.56%. A win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 29.18% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plaza Colonia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Deportivo Maldonado win was 0-1 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Plaza Colonia | Draw | Deportivo Maldonado |
44.56% ( 0.47) | 26.26% ( -0.17) | 29.18% ( -0.3) |
| Both teams to score 51.2% ( 0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.93% ( 0.53) | 53.07% ( -0.52) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.34% ( 0.45) | 74.66% ( -0.44) |
| Plaza Colonia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.29% ( 0.46) | 23.71% ( -0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.16% ( 0.65) | 57.84% ( -0.65) |
| Deportivo Maldonado Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.12% ( 0.06) | 32.89% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.54% ( 0.06) | 69.46% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Plaza Colonia | Draw | Deportivo Maldonado |
| 1-0 @ 11.22% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 8.98% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 8.08% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 4.31% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 3.87% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 2.4% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.55% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 1.39% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.76% Total : 44.56% | 1-1 @ 12.48% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 7.8% ( -0.16)2-2 @ 4.99% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.26% | 0-1 @ 8.67% ( -0.17) 1-2 @ 6.94% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 4.82% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.53% Total : 29.18% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
