Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 50.88%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Cerro had a probability of 21.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.95%) and 1-2 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.44%), while for a Cerro win it was 1-0 (9.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Cerro | Draw | Penarol |
21.28% (![]() | 27.83% (![]() | 50.88% (![]() |
Both teams to score 40.36% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
36.37% (![]() | 63.63% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.08% (![]() | 82.92% (![]() |
Cerro Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.1% (![]() | 45.9% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.36% (![]() | 81.64% (![]() |
Penarol Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.61% (![]() | 25.39% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.8% (![]() | 60.19% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Cerro | Draw | Penarol |
1-0 @ 9.08% (![]() 2-1 @ 4.84% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 3.53% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 1.26% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 0.92% ( ![]() Other @ 1.66% Total : 21.28% | 1-1 @ 12.44% (![]() 0-0 @ 11.65% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.32% ( ![]() Other @ 0.42% Total : 27.83% | 0-1 @ 15.97% (![]() 0-2 @ 10.95% ( ![]() 1-2 @ 8.53% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 5% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.9% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.72% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.52% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.34% ( ![]() Other @ 1.97% Total : 50.88% |
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