SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro win with a probability of 49.31%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Plaza Colonia had a probability of 22.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerro win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.5%) and 2-1 (8.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.63%), while for a Plaza Colonia win it was 0-1 (9.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cerro | Draw | Plaza Colonia |
49.31% ( -0) | 28.2% ( 0.06) | 22.49% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 40.76% ( -0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.18% ( -0.23) | 63.82% ( 0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.94% ( -0.17) | 83.06% ( 0.16) |
| Cerro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.76% ( -0.11) | 26.23% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.66% ( -0.15) | 61.34% ( 0.15) |
| Plaza Colonia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.25% ( -0.2) | 44.74% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.27% ( -0.16) | 80.73% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cerro | Draw | Plaza Colonia |
| 1-0 @ 15.7% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 10.5% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 8.45% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 4.69% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.77% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.57% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.52% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.84% Total : 49.29% | 1-1 @ 12.63% 0-0 @ 11.73% ( 0.1)2-2 @ 3.4% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.43% Total : 28.19% | 0-1 @ 9.44% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 5.08% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 3.8% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.89% Total : 22.49% |
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