SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Danubio win with a probability of 41.14%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for Fenix had a probability of 29.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.33%) and 2-1 (7.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.33%), while for a Fenix win it was 0-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Danubio | Draw | Fenix |
41.14% ( -0.19) | 29.63% ( 0.11) | 29.22% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 41.92% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.2% ( -0.3) | 64.8% ( 0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.25% ( -0.21) | 83.75% ( 0.21) |
| Danubio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.95% ( -0.27) | 31.05% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.63% ( -0.31) | 67.36% ( 0.31) |
| Fenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.8% ( -0.1) | 39.2% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.09% ( -0.09) | 75.91% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Danubio | Draw | Fenix |
| 1-0 @ 14.23% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 8.33% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 7.8% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 3.25% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 3.04% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.13% Total : 41.14% | 1-1 @ 13.33% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 12.17% ( 0.14)2-2 @ 3.65% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.48% Total : 29.63% | 0-1 @ 11.39% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 6.24% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.34% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.67% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.49% Total : 29.22% |
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